Iran’s direct military attack on Israel was a major victory over Israel and its direct military allies (the United States and Britain) and other Western backers!
Today at midnight, Iran attacked Israeli military sites with several hundred drones and dozens of missiles.
1- In every battle, the attacker usually wins because he has gathered his strength and is attacked while the enemy is not ready at that point. But if the enemy is aware of the attack, that is, by spies and … Knowing the attack, he prepares his forces and in fact the attacker is trapped, so his defeat is inevitable.
2- In this case, Iran itself declared an attack a few days ago, wrote to the United Nations, and gave all the evidence of the attack, even at a certain hour. On the other hand, the flight of Iranian drones over Iraq and the movement to Israel were shown in the media.
3- Israel and its military collaborators, the United States and Britain, which together constitute a very large military power, entered the war against these Iranian airbirds, which they should have simply wiped out at the beginning of their entry into Israel (if not before they arrived).
4- Israel says it has destroyed more than 90 percent of drones and missiles, while the rest have fallen into the desert, with no damage to life or property.
5- Regarding the loss of life, the soldiers were in the bunker, and as Iran declared and was done in practice, the attack focused only on military bases. It is not surprising that the loss of life is even zero.
Where was Iran’s victory:
1- Iran is more than 1,000 kilometers away from Israel and must be crossed over two or three countries. For this purpose, passenger flights had to be halted (this was a sign of an attack) so that they would not be threatened. But crossing over countries with drones required their cooperation, which is why Iranian drones were not thought to fly over Jordan. Maybe it was an initial surprise. Jordan also reacted militarily.
2- The evidence now shows that a number of Iranian missiles hit sensitive Israeli bases including the country’s largest and most guarded military airfield, where even the president’s private sensitive plane is located, which is sure to have caused damage to it so that after the attack, Israel was forced to relocate the plane, while before the Iranian attack it was safely located. Assuming that Iran is not capable of attacking.
3- Videos released by the people show that Israeli Ammunition ended at the end of the attack and that Iran was hitting every spot with the simplest missiles. While Iran still has better and more advanced missiles than they used to be.
4- Iran’s missiles passed through Iron Dome, Patriot and Arrow defenses, and showed that Iran’s missiles outperformed the West’s best defensive weapons (the U.S. gave Israel its best) and defeated them easily.
Political commentary:
Before Iran invaded the United States, Israel and the entire West (the Jewish colonies), Russia seemed to have warned that it would use nuclear weapons if they intended to attack Iran. This is an important point that I mentioned earlier in my writings that Israel would use the atomic bomb unless Iran had one. Now, “Russia seems compelled to do so because it knows that Iran’s defeat is also its failure.”
It should be noted that I mentioned at the beginning of the Gaza War:
If it comes to the point where Israel is fully successful in Gaza, Hezbollah and … To prevent this victory, Russia is forced to give Iran a nuclear weapon, which is controlled by Russian personnel because it is not easy to use and requires long training.
In today’s attack, Iran showed that it has good foresights and plans, not only from a political point of view but also from a military standpoint, and is acting globally.
Will Israel strike back?
If nuclear and magnetic bombs or weapons in this wide array are taken from Israel, Israel has nothing more to attack Iran than planes and perhaps missiles that do not appear to be effective by flying over multiple countries.
But on the other hand, Iran showed that it could easily target the most sensitive parts of Israel, and then the people of Israel would be forced to leave the country exhausted and desperate.
Note that the continuation of such a war in the region would result in a complete cessation of commercial flights and many other activities that would disrupt the economy of the entire region (especially the sheikhdoms), so that apart from threatening the rest of the country with its own skies to Israeli warplanes, they would willingly do so themselves.
The collapse of the region’s economic situation, which would also disrupt oil exports, would force the West to retreat.
This means that Israel must close the sky before the attack, which means that Iran can carry out a counterattack at the right time, even before the Israeli attack.
But it seems impossible for Israel to be able to carry out an operation against Iran by crossing the skies of Syria and Iraq, and of course it is not easy to get permission from Jordan and Saudi Arabia, because Iran’s threat to respond to them is serious.
The militarization of Iran was inevitable!
Several years ago I wrote:
There are two ways to progress and thus confront the West.
1- Financial strengthening. But this is not possible, because the wealth of the West and its influence in the world is so great that it never allows any growth to other countries, especially Iran and… and even Russia (the story of China is different).
2- military. This is possible to some extent and Iran can invest in this one.
Now, after this period of time, the correctness of my opinions has been completely proven.
Note: Everything I mentioned “I have written before” is on my site.
Now/from today, it seems that Israel will use all its strength to destroy or at least push back Hezbollah and push it away from its borders to a certain extent; But considering the missiles that Iran has given to Hezbollah, this is no longer possible.
Disturbance inside Iran!
On the other hand, Israel and the West want to concentrate their forces inside Iran. Considering their strong propaganda power (such as the story of women, life, freedom, which is the real goal of the West, women, prostitution, slavery) if it succeeds, then there will be no other way for Iran to start the war again, because the goal The West is a civil war and the disintegration of Iran, and the overwhelming majority of Iranians do not like this. So the whole region is under pressure as I mentioned in the above lines.
Result:
The West has no way but to compromise with Iran, Russia and China, that is, to retreat; Or to give in to a full-scale apocalyptic nuclear war.
The West has long since lost its former hegemonic power and is barely making its last efforts. These efforts can rightly be likened to the efforts of a person in a swamp, the more he wades, the deeper and faster he sinks.
afternoon
April 14, 2024
Uppsala – Sweden
The philosopher of the school
M. H. Baygan
